Comments on: More on Presidential Decision Markets

By: Artisttheking.com » Futarchist Voter Guide

Artisttheking.com » Futarchist Voter Guide — Sat, 07 Feb 2009 17:45:15 +0000

[...] second set of relevant contracts instigated by Polimetrics have unfortunately attracted almost no trading and probably tell us [...]

By: Artisttheking.com » Futarchist Voter Guide

Artisttheking.com » Futarchist Voter Guide — Sat, 07 Feb 2009 17:45:15 +0000

[...] second set of relevant contracts instigated by Polimetrics have unfortunately attracted almost no trading and probably tell us [...]

By: Futarchy Lite 2008 | Midas Oracle .ORG

Futarchy Lite 2008 | Midas Oracle .ORG — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 15:06:18 +0000

[...] second set of relevant contracts instigated by Polimetrics have unfortunately attracted almost no trading and probably tell us [...]

By: Mike Linksvayer » Futarchist Voter Guide

Mike Linksvayer » Futarchist Voter Guide — Sun, 02 Nov 2008 19:32:17 +0000

[...] second set of relevant contracts instigated by Polimetrics have unfortunately attracted almost no trading and probably tell us [...]

By: jck

jck — Sun, 20 Jan 2008 16:08:31 +0000

You wrote somewhere else :
“A large fraction of the trades in NONDEM.PRES-GOVT.DEBT and NONDEM.PRES-TROOPS.IRAQ fit a pattern of driving the price down.”
You should not be too surprised, you have provided a free bet actually you have paid somebody to bet on a Republican President funded by shorting NONDEM.PRES-GOVT.DEBT or NONDEM.PRES-TROOPS.IRAQ and they will win regardless of the outcome.

By: Implied Prices for Robin Hanson’s Presidential Decision-Aid Markets | Midas Oracle .ORG

Fri, 18 Jan 2008 20:49:30 +0000

[...] More from Peter McCluskey. And see the commen [...]